Micro Betting Strategies & Tips – 9th March 2018
With access to over 200,000 matches, spanning 22 of the top European leagues and over 100 different variables and data points, Predictology puts at your fingers the ability to create powerful and complex betting systems, develop your own portfolio of betting strategies as well as the ability to quickly create multiple micro betting strategies.
You can learn more about the importance and benefits of micro betting strategies in this blog post. Then each Friday we share we with you some of our micro betting angles and the selections generated for the weekend ahead by these micro betting systems.
Two goals in three minutes ended the Spurs Champions League dream on Wednesday, a result that extended Juventus’ unbeaten run to 21 games in all competitions.
Juve have been something of a banker on this blog all season but as much good as that victory at Wembley will have done for their confidence, our Juventus system focuses on exclusively on their home wins in Serie A.
And with that filter applied, their form is even more impressive…
They’ve only lost one league game in their last 47 at the Allianz Stadium and their win-rate over the last 4.5 seasons stands at an outstanding 91%. Betting on them during that period would have yielded a 26.5% ROI. Not too shabby for such a seemingly obvious tip.
At the opposite end of the home-form spectrum – and unsurprisingly the league table – are 18th-placed Crotone who are winless in four at home.
In Sampdoria, they face a team who’ve only won only once in six away from home, though. With that in mind Marathon Bet’s price of 2.41 for a home win looks good value.
On the same winless-in-four run as Crotone are Sassuolo but their spirits will also be buoyed by the form of their visiting opponents this weekend. Of SPAL’s 15 league games away from home this term, they’ve only managed two wins. Sassuolo are priced at 2.0 to beat SPAL with Bet 365.
Data crunched from every single Serie A game played over the last 6.5 seasons gives teams on a run of three or more games without seeing over 2.5 goals, a 52.7% chance of the line being passed in the next game. That percentage jumps to a massive 71% if you look at this season’s results.
Fiorentina haven’t seen more than two goals scored in three games now, whilst their opponents this weekend, Benevento, have seen 14 goals during that time frame. Matchbook have the over 2.5 goals selection priced at 1.67.
It’s not much fun being a Genoa fan at the moment, not if you like seeing goals, anyway. Genoa have only seen three or more goals once in their last ten games. Based on the aforementioned 71% stat, they are therefore due an “overs” result this weekend against AC Milan. That result is 2.38 with Bet Victor.
Looking at the same total goals market but jumping over to Spain now…
Since 2011, teams on a run of three or more games with less than three goals have been able to buck the trend 52% of the time.
Eibar beat Valencia the weekend before last and have their sturdy defence to thank for a deserved league placing of eighth (their last five games have each seen two goals or less).
This weekend, Real Madrid roll into town, though. A different attacking proposition entirely. Only one of the double European champions last nine league games has featured less than three total goals.
Eibar v Real Madrid finishing with over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.5 with Coral this weekend.
Over in France, Nantes’ winless-at-home streak extended to four games last weekend and teams on such a run in League 1 over the last 6.5 seasons have gone on to win their next game 38% of the time.
Adding more weight to Marathon Bet’s price of 1.71 for the home win, is the fact that this weekend’s visitors, Troyes, have lost their last five-straight away games.
Guingamp are another side who will look at this weekend’s fixture as prime opportunity to end a dismal run of home results. They too have gone four without a win but their opponents, Nice, are winless in five away from home. A victory for Guingamp is priced at 2.77 with Matchbook.
Nantes win (v Troyes)
Sassuollo win (v Spal)
Over 2.5 (Genoa v AC Milan)
Paying around 8.22 for the Treble with Bet Victor
We have created an incredibly powerful new betting platform which gives you all the tools you need to create your very own football betting systems!
By becoming a member of Predictology you get instant access to the following:
- Over 200,000 matches and growing…
- 22 leagues covering 10+ seasons… and we are adding more leagues all the
- Run and test systems in seconds with our custom built server
- Assess over 100 variables, criteria to build the perfect betting system
- Auto bet alerts – one email per day with all of your selections from all of your systems
- 1-click betting – place your bets straight from the Predictology platform
- A full video guide series which will make you a system building expert in not time at all
- Three custom rating models for you to use
- Value tracker reports – we will tell you the matches the bookies have priced wrong every week in one simple report
- 10 week playbook which shares some of our own most pro table betting systems
- And much, much more