Micro Betting Strategies & Tips – 2nd March 2018
With access to over 200,000 matches, spanning 22 of the top European leagues and over 100 different variables and data points, Predictology puts at your fingers the ability to create powerful and complex betting systems, develop your own portfolio of betting strategies as well as the ability to quickly create multiple micro betting strategies.
You can learn more about the importance and benefits of micro betting strategies in this blog post. Then each Friday we share we with you some of our micro betting angles and the selections generated for the weekend ahead by these micro betting systems.
For the second consecutive week, Burnley align with our patterns not once but twice.
The Clarets were denied a much-needed home win in the 90th minute by Manolo Gabbiadini and Southampton last week, taking their winless home run to five matches.
But as we said last week, their home failings aren’t as bad as a quick glance at the form book would suggest. That unlucky last-minute draw followed back-to-back Turf Moor-hosted matches against Man United, Liverpool, Spurs and Man City.
The Lancashire club are 2.5 with Sun Bets to finally do the business against Everton and if stats crunched from this season are to be believed, teams winless at four in home go on to buck the trend 75% of the time in their next outing.
Southampton haven’t won at home since November but in Stoke they face a team unable to get the job done on their travels. The Potters have won once away from the Britannia all season. To give some perspective, that’s once in 14 games. A win for the St Mary’s faithful is 1.76 with Marathon Bet.
Back to Burnley’s bad luck now. Despite playing the best opposition this league has to offer in recent weeks, the 2.5 Goals line has not been breached in their last six-consecutive Premier League games.
6.5 season’s worth of Prem data reveals that teams who’ve seen two goals or less in three consecutive games or more, then go “overs” 55% of the time. That percentage climbs to 71% if you filter the stats to this season alone.
In Serie A, teams who’ve gone three games without seeing over 2.5 goals, have gone on to break the O2.5 line a sizable 74% of games this season.
Genoa’s last two games have both finished 2-0 (they beat Inter and lost to Bologna) their price to edge over that line against Cagliari is 2.36 with Matchbook.
Atlanta’s lofty position of eighth in the table – one spot below Milan, two spots below a Europa League place – is thanks to a solid defensive record but stats crunched from the last 6.5 seasons say there is a 53% chance they’ll see three or more this weekend. That eventuality against Sampdoria is 1.8 with Bet 365.
We’ll finish the post over in Spain and it’s surprising to see former Champions League regulars Deportivo La Coruna one place from the bottom in La Liga, but that’s where they find themselves.
Despite not winning at home in five, they have drawn two of the last three. They simply need a result this weekend against an Eibar side who’ve only won two from six on their recent travels.
Data from the last 6.5 La Liga campaigns shows that teams on a run akin to La Coruna’s are able to take all three points 46.5% of the time. Bet Victor have priced the home win at 2.7.
Finally in Spain, we’ll take a look at the Over 2.5 Goals line. It’s a line Villarreal have failed to cross in their last three-straight games. Clubs on such a pattern in Spain this season have then gone over the line in their next game 48% of the time.
Opponents this weekend, Girona, have seen three or more in two of their last three with 11 collective goals in that period. O2.5 Goals in the Villarreal v Girona game is 1.83 with William Hill.
Burnley win (v Everton)
Deportivo win (v Eibar)
Southampton win (v Stoke City)
Paying around 11.81 for the Treble with Bet365
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